Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.981123e-07 1.791001e-06 2.959290e-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000015
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.590324e-07 1.157347e-06 2.447619e-06 0.000005 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.232339e-07 7.927331e-07 2.091935e-06 0.000005 0.000010 0.000018 0.000032
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.044182e-07 5.357843e-07 1.747808e-06 0.000005 0.000011 0.000021 0.000039
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.978198e-08 3.815958e-07 1.528354e-06 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000048
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.334552e-08 2.771482e-07 1.352234e-06 0.000005 0.000012 0.000028 0.000057
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.839800e-09 1.871505e-07 1.144529e-06 0.000004 0.000013 0.000030 0.000065
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.005201e-09 1.461601e-07 1.072507e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000035 0.000076
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.004339e-09 1.247739e-07 1.069082e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000090
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.292231e-10 9.664289e-08 9.975049e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000102
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.728993e-10 6.992516e-08 8.983095e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000048 0.000114
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.668651e-11 5.753560e-08 8.743305e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000129
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.862819e-12 3.982760e-08 8.000259e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000060 0.000148
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.515317e-17 2.674125e-08 7.236932e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000067 0.000167
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.740224e-08 6.530405e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000073 0.000188
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 9.764802e-09 5.561798e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000078 0.000205
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.788205e-09 4.961368e-07 0.000005 0.000026 0.000084 0.000226
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.319688e-09 4.431246e-07 0.000005 0.000027 0.000090 0.000247
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.497737e-09 3.726786e-07 0.000005 0.000028 0.000095 0.000265
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 9.104747e-10 3.530735e-07 0.000005 0.000030 0.000104 0.000292
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.880127e-10 3.604413e-07 0.000006 0.000033 0.000115 0.000327
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.713488e-10 3.368614e-07 0.000006 0.000034 0.000124 0.000356
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.504277e-10 3.009093e-07 0.000006 0.000036 0.000131 0.000382